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Timeform's Epsom Derby Analyst Verdict: English King demonstrated all the qualities needed to excel at Epsom when an easy winner of the Lingfield Derby Trial and can strike under Frankie Dettori. Your account does not have an active Timeform subscription. Please select one of the options below: TimeformUS PPs - Single Card - $3.50 TimeformUS Breeder's Cup Pre-Entry & Final PPs - $19.95 TimeformUS Daily Unlimited PP Plan - $5.99 TimeformUS Monthly Unlimited PP Plan - $74.95. Stay Updated with DRF Morning Line. Free Race-of-the-Day video analysis & PPs, DRF Bets Gameplan Play-of-the-Day, all the latest racing news and more. Timeform's expert US handicapper Mark Milligan previews the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on Saturday and picks out his best bet. Mark Milligan previews the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on Saturday evening and picks out his best bet. There is no doubt that strictly on ratings his Florida Derby effort is as good as anything in the. English King is a real Derby contender. The unusual start to the 2020 Flat season didn’t make the Lingfield Derby trial any deeper than normal. It was an all-British affair for the first time since 2012 and the pair at the head of the betting, English King and Berkshire Rocco, pulled clear of.

With a little more than three months remaining until the 2021 Kentucky Derby, bettors have a good idea of who the fastest 3-year-olds on the Derby Trail are. The next step for these swift sophomores is to prove they can carry their speed over more demanding distances.

It is one thing to be fast going six furlongs or one mile and an entirely different thing to maintain that speed over a classic distance. Life Is Good and Jackie's Warrior, the first 3-year-olds in the current crop to achieve a Beyer Speed Figure above 100, both have questions surrounding their ability to carry their speed for 1 1/4 miles.

[RELATED – First Look: Kentucky Derby, Oaks preps on the weekend schedule]

Essential Quality's 95 Beyer Speed Figure that he earned while capturing the Breeders' Cup Juvenile remains the highest number for any runner beyond one mile. Considering he earned that number as a 2-year-old, he needs to show only marginal improvement to remain at the top of the division.

He continues to gain new company each week, however, as top prospects emerge.

The Great One (92), Prevalence (89) and Concert Tour (88) all recently earned impressive speed figures while breaking maiden in convincing fashion. The Great One already is stakes placed, while Prevalence and Concert Tour are a bit behind in the game after not starting as 2-year-olds. All three colts certainly have enough upside to record a triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure in the near future.

Speaking of visually impressive performances, Caddo River proved he was the real deal while demolishing the Smarty Jones Stakes at Oaklawn en route to a 92 Beyer Speed Figure. The Brad Cox trainee has gotten better as the distances have increased and is a big threat going forward.

Timeform Derby Ratings Odds

It is interesting to compare Beyer Speed Figures to Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures for the fastest contenders. Timeform agrees with Beyer Speed Figures that Life Is Good, Jackie's Warrior and Medina Spirit are the fastest runners thus far, but they disagree when it comes to recent maiden winners.

Prevalence received a Beyer Speed Figure of 89 for his impressive debut score at Gulfstream but only a 98 Timeform Figure. Concert Tour gained an 88 Beyer Speed Figure for his win at Santa Anita and a 114 Timeform Figure, the highest of any debut winner.

Brisnet was less impressed with the Sham Stakes, giving Life Is Good a 98, two points lower than the 100 he earned for his debut win. Brisnet values the strength of the Remsen Stakes (G2) as Brooklyn Strong (107) and Table for Ten (106) have gained the two highest ratings thus far.

There is plenty of room for debate on who the fastest 3-year-old is at this stage, but it is becoming obvious that this has the potential to be one of the most promising groups of 3-year-olds in recent memory.

Below is a list of the fastest performances among the 2021 Kentucky Derby contenders sorted in order of highest Beyer Speed Figures.

Timeform Uk

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Timeform is a sports data and content provider located in Halifax, West Yorkshire, England founded in 1948 to provide information to fans, bettors, and others involved in the horse racing industry. The company was purchased by the sports betting exchange Betfair in December 2006. Since 2 February 2016, it has been owned by Flutter Entertainment.

History[edit]

Portway Press Ltd was formed in 1948 by Phil Bull, who wanted to establish a mathematical link to a horse's performance, based on the time the horse recorded. At a time when such data was virtually unheard of, Bull started publishing a racing annual, which evolved into the 'Racehorses Of..' series. The company was purchased for a reputed £15 million by the sports betting exchange Betfair in December 2006.^[1]

Timeform Race Selections

Data system[edit]

According to the publishers, a Timeform rating represents 'the merit of the horse expressed in pounds and is arrived at by careful examination of its running against other horses using a scale of weight for distance beaten which ranges from around 3 lb a length at five furlongs and 2 lb a length at a mile and a quarter to 1 lb a length at two miles'.

The Beyer Speed Figure used in the United States is similar to a Timeform rating. The popular rule of thumb for comparing these two numbers is to add 12–14 points to the Beyer score to estimate the Timeform number.

Timeform ratings for 3-year-olds and up are as follows:

• 140+ – An outstanding horse
• 136-139 – An almost outstanding horse
• 130–135 – Above average Group 1 winner
• 125–129 – Average Group 1 winner
• 115–124 – Average Group 2 winner
• 110–115 – Average Group 3 winner
• 100–105 – Average listed race winner

Timeform states that 2-year-old averages are slightly lower.

The Daily Racing Form gives an example of the evolution of ratings for horses from age two upwards in the American Grade IArlington Million.^[2]

Flat vs hurdle vs steeplechase[edit]

Timeform maintains different scales for horses racing on the flat, over hurdles and over fences. The scores cannot be compared for the obvious differences between the race types. For instance, Arkle at 212, Flyingbolt at 210, Sprinter Sacre at 192 are then followed by Mill House and Kauto Star, both at 191, are the highest rated steeplechasers. The highest rated horses over hurdles are Night Nurse at 182, Istabraq and Monksfield, both at 180, and Persian War at 179. The table below lists scores for flat horses only starting with the highest, rated at 147 which is the British horse Frankel.^[3]

Publications[edit]

Annually in March, the company puts out its book Racehorses of ...., which currently contains more than 1,200 pages and provides information and ratings on the top flat horses in Australasia, Dubai, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Italy, Japan, North America and Scandinavia. Also, annually in October the company publishes Chasers and Hurdlers, a thorough review of every horse that ran under National Hunt rules in Britain, as well as the best National Hunt horses to have run in Ireland and France.

Timeform publishes a number of other books. Its Horses to Follow: Flat Season is composed of short essays on fifty horses deemed worthy of following in the upcoming year's classics. The horses are selected by Timeform's own team of experts along with five leading broadcasters. The book also provides a guide to the most significant two-year-old performances from the previous year.

Timeform also compiles a system based on speed and class which appears in the Daily Racing Form for all horse racing events run in the United Kingdom, Ireland, France and the United Arab Emirates.

Top-rated Thoroughbreds on flat courses[edit]

The figures below are official all-time Highweights for horses who raced in Australia, Dubai, Europe, Hong Kong, Japan, and Scandinavia as supplied by Neil O'Connor of Timeform. Until very recently (approximately 2000), horses who raced exclusively in America were never given Timeform ratings, so they can not be compared directly to their European counterparts.

Top-rated horses on chase courses[edit]

The figures below are official all-time Highweights for horses racing under National Hunt rules on chase courses.^[6]

Top-rated Thoroughbreds on hurdle courses[edit]

The figures below are all-time ratings accorded by Timeform for race horses that competed under National Hunt rules on hurdle courses.^[6]

* Timeform started compiling ratings for jumps racing in 1962; therefore Sir Ken's rating (among others outstanding Jump horses) was retrospectively assessed by Timeform when Cheltenham introduced its Hall of Fame in the 1990s.

Timeform Ratings Explanation

References[edit]

Timeform Rating Vs Beyer

1. ^McGrath, J A (25 November 2006). 'Betfair set to buy Timeform for £15m'. The Telegraph. London. Retrieved 5 April 2008.
2. ^'Daily Racing Form PDF (login required)'(PDF). Drf.com. Archived from the original(PDF) on 27 September 2007. Retrieved 20 August 2012.
3. ^Greg Wood at Ascot (19 June 2012). 'Frankel hailed as greatest ever after Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes win Sport'. The Guardian. London. Retrieved 20 August 2012.
4. ^'Battaash confirms he's the real deal'. Timeform. Archived from the original on 10 August 2017. Retrieved 10 August 2017.
5. ^'Royal Ascot 2017 News Lady Aurelia's King's Stand win at Royal Ascot earns her a huge Timeform rating'. royal-ascot.timeform.com. Retrieved 21 June 2017.
6. ^ ^ab'Timeform's greatest racehorses'. Timeform. 17 February 2014. Retrieved 6 April 2016.

Timeform Ratings Derby Winners

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